Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 62.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 50.4%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 57.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Barbashev
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Barbashev
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
52.3% (560)
-13.2%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
57.5% (113)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
62.5% (16)
-42.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Barbashev shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Pavelski
Home
40.0% (85)
54.2% (360)
Away
35.6% (59)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Barbashev
Pavelski
P1
35.8%
54.5%
P2
29.5%
56.7%
P3
48.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
31.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |