Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 74.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 75.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Barbashev
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
51.5% (594)
-11.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
51.7% (87)
+6.6%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Barbashev is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Barbashev shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Pavelski
Home
45.8% (48)
53.1% (339)
Away
38.5% (39)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Barbashev
Pavelski
P1
43.3%
53.8%
P2
31.0%
47.8%
P3
53.6%
50.2%
Final 5 min
35.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%