Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +33.4% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 22.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.6% vs Staal 55.1% (-33.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 72.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 54.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Barbashev
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Barbashev
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
16.1% (31)
57.2% (740)
-41.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
67.0% (88)
-7.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barbashev is 22.2% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Barbashev shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Staal
Home
22.2% (18)
55.4% (518)
Away
22.2% (18)
55.7% (497)
By Period
Barbashev
Staal
P1
38.9%
53.6%
P2
8.3%
56.6%
P3
0.0%
55.7%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
22.2%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |