Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +32.9% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 22.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.7% vs Staal 54.6% (-32.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 73.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.7%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 54.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Barbashev
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Barbashev
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
18.6% (43)
56.1% (955)
-37.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
66.9% (142)
-24.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barbashev is 22.9% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Barbashev shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Staal
Home
20.8% (24)
55.4% (663)
Away
23.1% (26)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Barbashev
Staal
P1
33.3%
55.1%
P2
6.7%
54.7%
P3
21.4%
53.9%
Final 5 min
0.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
22.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |