Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Staal 57.6% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 82.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 56.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Barbashev
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Barbashev
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Barbashev
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
58.9% (1,096)
-18.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
68.4% (57)
-10.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barbashev is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Barbashev shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Staal
Home
45.8% (48)
57.0% (646)
Away
38.5% (39)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Barbashev
Staal
P1
43.3%
55.9%
P2
31.0%
55.4%
P3
53.6%
62.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |