Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.6% vs Staal 54.2% (-18.1%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 72.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Barbashev
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
57.0% (1,017)
-17.7%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
57.7% (26)
-37.7%
On power play, Staal has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barbashev is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Barbashev shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Staal
Home
35.3% (17)
54.3% (667)
Away
37.5% (16)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Barbashev
Staal
P1
14.3%
56.2%
P2
61.5%
57.0%
P3
33.3%
49.7%
Final 5 min
0.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
36.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%