Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Staal 56.8% (-17.4%)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Barbashev
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
58.9% (1,041)
-21.0%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
53.4% (73)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
49.1% (171)
-8.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barbashev is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Barbashev shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Staal
Home
45.3% (137)
59.0% (578)
Away
36.1% (191)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Barbashev
Staal
P1
41.8%
57.1%
P2
43.1%
60.9%
P3
31.9%
55.8%
OT
75.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
37.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%