Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-17.5%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 68.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Barbashev
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
56.3% (1,115)
-17.2%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
61.2% (67)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
52.1% (292)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barbashev is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Barbashev shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Staal
Home
40.0% (85)
58.3% (705)
Away
35.6% (59)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Barbashev
Staal
P1
35.8%
54.5%
P2
29.5%
58.2%
P3
48.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
31.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%