Ivan Barbashev vs Nathan MacKinnon
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.4% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 66.1%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 72.7%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 56.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Last 8: Barbashev 5-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Barbashev
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
0
Barbashev
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
42.8% (1,039)
+3.7%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
50.8% (118)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
46.2% (26)
-4.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barbashev is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Barbashev shoots left. MacKinnon is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Home
45.9% (233)
48.0% (586)
Away
45.2% (208)
39.5% (597)
By Period
Barbashev
MacKinnon
P1
46.5%
46.1%
P2
48.3%
41.5%
P3
42.1%
43.8%
Final 5 min
42.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |