Ivan Barbashev vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 79.9%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 75.3%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 72.0%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Last 10: Barbashev 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
7
Barbashev
MacKinnon
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
5
Barbashev
MacKinnon
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Barbashev
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
46.1% (11,218)
-4.1%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
53.3% (1,412)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
42.8% (502)
-6.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Barbashev shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Home
42.4% (932)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Barbashev
MacKinnon
P1
40.7%
47.4%
P2
42.3%
46.6%
P3
42.3%
46.1%
OT
60.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
39.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |