Ivan Barbashev vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 69.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 74.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Barbashev
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
45.5% (1,190)
-5.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
56.4% (94)
+1.9%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barbashev is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Barbashev shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Home
45.8% (48)
47.8% (670)
Away
38.5% (39)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Barbashev
MacKinnon
P1
43.3%
45.3%
P2
31.0%
48.5%
P3
53.6%
45.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%