Ivan Barbashev vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.6% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 59.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 61.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Barbashev
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
49.2% (1,266)
-9.9%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
54.9% (193)
-34.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Barbashev is 18.2% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Barbashev shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Barbashev
MacKinnon
Home
35.3% (17)
50.9% (740)
Away
37.5% (16)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Barbashev
MacKinnon
P1
14.3%
50.9%
P2
61.5%
51.8%
P3
33.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
0.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
36.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%