Who wins more faceoffs, Ivan Barbashev or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon leads the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Ivan Barbashev's faceoff record against Nathan MacKinnon?

Ivan Barbashev is 2-6 against Nathan MacKinnon in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-2, Defensive 0-3, Neutral 1-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Ivan Barbashev or Nathan MacKinnon?

Ivan Barbashev is the predicted winner with a 63.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Ivan Barbashev vs Nathan MacKinnon

Ivan BarbashevL vs Nathan MacKinnonR

2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barbashev 45.7% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (-5.1%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Barbashev 61.0%

Defensive zone Barbashev 64.8%

Neutral zone Barbashev 66.1%

Result Ivan Barbashev favored at 63.7%

63.7%

36.3%

Barbashev MacKinnon

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 6 (8 meetings)

Barbashev MacKinnon

Last 8: Barbashev 2-6 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Barbashev MacKinnon

3 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Barbashev MacKinnon

3 total

Neutral Zone

Even

Barbashev MacKinnon

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Barbashev

MacKinnon

Edge

Even Strength

46.8% (154)

48.5% (439)

-1.7%

Penalty Kill

28.6% (35)

25.0% (12)

+3.6%

On penalty kill, Barbashev has a +3.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

MacKinnon shoots right. Barbashev is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (68).

Barbashev shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).

Home / Away

Barbashev

MacKinnon

Home

40.6% (101)

52.5% (221)

Away

46.6% (88)

45.2% (272)

By Period

Barbashev

MacKinnon

43.3%

50.5%

41.1%

45.5%

48.5%

Final 5 min

34.8%

44.1%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Barbashev

22.0%▼

35.0%

43.4%

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 22, 2021	2	13:41	Offensive	Ivan Barbashev
Apr 3, 2021	3	00:18	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 3, 2021	3	00:00	Neutral	Ivan Barbashev
Apr 3, 2021	1	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 2, 2021	1	11:46	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 15, 2021	3	10:16	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 15, 2021	2	11:18	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 13, 2021	2	14:08	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon

Barbashev's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile