Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barbashev wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.4% vs Schmaltz 40.4% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 53.2%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 87.3%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 67.4%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Last 7: Barbashev 5-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
4
0
Barbashev
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Barbashev
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
37.6% (237)
+8.9%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
32.5% (40)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
50.0% (4)
-8.7%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barbashev is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Barbashev shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Home
45.9% (233)
42.6% (129)
Away
45.2% (208)
32.2% (152)
By Period
Barbashev
Schmaltz
P1
46.5%
38.8%
P2
48.3%
29.4%
P3
42.1%
42.2%
Final 5 min
42.4%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
37.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |