Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 61.3%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 80.8%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 71.6%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Barbashev
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Barbashev
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
42.9% (133)
-5.0%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
55.1% (89)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
47.1% (17)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Home
45.3% (137)
41.6% (125)
Away
36.1% (191)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Barbashev
Schmaltz
P1
41.8%
40.0%
P2
43.1%
59.5%
P3
31.9%
45.0%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |