Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 54.9%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 54.0%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Barbashev
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
37.7% (53)
+1.4%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
40.9% (44)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
66.7% (3)
-46.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Barbashev shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Home
40.0% (85)
34.7% (49)
Away
35.6% (59)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Barbashev
Schmaltz
P1
35.8%
25.9%
P2
29.5%
46.2%
P3
48.9%
42.1%
Final 5 min
31.3%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%