Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 54.5%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 72.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 57.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Barbashev
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
38.5% (309)
+1.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
53.2% (79)
+5.1%
On power play, Barbashev has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barbashev is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Barbashev shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Home
45.8% (48)
38.0% (184)
Away
38.5% (39)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Barbashev
Schmaltz
P1
43.3%
40.3%
P2
31.0%
39.9%
P3
53.6%
40.7%
Final 5 min
35.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%