Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +24.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.7% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-24.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 55.3%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 53.9%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 53.1%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Barbashev
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
18.6% (43)
45.9% (665)
-27.3%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
46.8% (111)
-3.9%
On even strength, Schmaltz has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barbashev is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Barbashev shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Home
20.8% (24)
44.7% (409)
Away
23.1% (26)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Barbashev
Schmaltz
P1
33.3%
40.3%
P2
6.7%
47.6%
P3
21.4%
51.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
22.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |