Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.4% vs 42.8%). Barbashev wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 45.7% vs Schmaltz 44.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.5%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 65.0%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 50.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Last 5: Barbashev 3-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (154)
42.5% (485)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
100.0% (1)
-71.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Barbashev is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Barbashev shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Schmaltz
Home
40.6% (101)
45.0% (258)
Away
46.6% (88)
40.9% (279)
By Period
Barbashev
Schmaltz
P1
43.3%
47.0%
P2
41.1%
42.7%
P3
45.5%
38.4%
Final 5 min
34.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
43.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |