Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Zacha 46.5% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 56.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Barbashev
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
45.3% (247)
-6.2%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
58.1% (31)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
22.2% (18)
-2.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barbashev is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Barbashev shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Zacha
Home
40.0% (85)
39.7% (131)
Away
35.6% (59)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Barbashev
Zacha
P1
35.8%
42.9%
P2
29.5%
46.4%
P3
48.9%
42.3%
Final 5 min
31.3%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%