Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Zacha 54.4% (-12.3%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 60.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 70.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Barbashev
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
53.9% (787)
-13.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
63.2% (193)
-4.9%
On even strength, Zacha has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barbashev is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Barbashev shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Zacha
Home
45.8% (48)
56.7% (538)
Away
38.5% (39)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Barbashev
Zacha
P1
43.3%
52.6%
P2
31.0%
54.8%
P3
53.6%
56.8%
Final 5 min
35.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%