Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.6% vs Zacha 52.8% (-16.8%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 52.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 67.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Barbashev
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
54.1% (534)
-14.8%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
56.0% (109)
-36.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barbashev is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Barbashev shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Zacha
Home
35.3% (17)
53.4% (406)
Away
37.5% (16)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Barbashev
Zacha
P1
14.3%
56.8%
P2
61.5%
53.6%
P3
33.3%
49.2%
Final 5 min
0.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
36.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%