Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Zacha 49.1% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 77.3%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 76.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 77.8%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Barbashev
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barbashev
Zacha
Last 6: Barbashev 1-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Barbashev
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Barbashev
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Barbashev
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
48.9% (5,102)
-6.9%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
55.6% (804)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
42.2% (555)
-5.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Barbashev shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Zacha
Home
42.4% (932)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Barbashev
Zacha
P1
40.7%
49.9%
P2
42.3%
49.2%
P3
42.3%
48.1%
OT
60.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
39.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |