Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.4% vs Steel 49.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 64.8%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 77.7%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 68.9%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Barbashev
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barbashev
Steel
Last 5: Barbashev 1-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Barbashev
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Barbashev
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
49.5% (204)
-3.0%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
57.1% (7)
-40.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
33.3% (9)
+8.0%
On power play, Steel has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Barbashev is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Barbashev shoots left. Steel is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Steel
Home
45.9% (233)
53.2% (77)
Away
45.2% (208)
46.9% (143)
By Period
Barbashev
Steel
P1
46.5%
45.5%
P2
48.3%
49.4%
P3
42.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
42.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |