Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.6% vs Steel 52.8% (-17.1%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 69.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 76.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.5%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Barbashev
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
56.9% (320)
-17.6%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
71.4% (7)
-51.4%
On power play, Steel has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Barbashev is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Barbashev shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Steel
Home
35.3% (17)
55.9% (202)
Away
37.5% (16)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Barbashev
Steel
P1
14.3%
55.5%
P2
61.5%
55.1%
P3
33.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
0.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
36.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%