Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +28.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 22.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.7% vs Steel 50.6% (-28.8%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 69.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 74.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 58.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Barbashev
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
18.6% (43)
52.5% (200)
-33.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
71.4% (7)
-28.5%
On even strength, Steel has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Barbashev is 22.9% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Barbashev shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Steel
Home
20.8% (24)
49.5% (109)
Away
23.1% (26)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Barbashev
Steel
P1
33.3%
49.5%
P2
6.7%
47.5%
P3
21.4%
56.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
22.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%