Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Steel 48.8% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 55.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 62.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Barbashev
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
49.5% (553)
-10.4%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
61.3% (31)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
30.6% (49)
-10.6%
On power play, Steel has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Barbashev is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Barbashev shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Steel
Home
40.0% (85)
46.4% (347)
Away
35.6% (59)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Barbashev
Steel
P1
35.8%
52.1%
P2
29.5%
49.8%
P3
48.9%
45.2%
Final 5 min
31.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%