Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Steel 46.6% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 72.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 82.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Barbashev
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
44.6% (177)
-4.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
On power play, Steel has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Barbashev is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Barbashev shoots left. Steel is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Steel
Home
45.8% (48)
46.7% (90)
Away
38.5% (39)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Barbashev
Steel
P1
43.3%
47.8%
P2
31.0%
47.0%
P3
53.6%
41.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%