Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Nosek 53.4% (-14.0%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 61.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 77.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 55.0%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Barbashev
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
55.1% (557)
-17.2%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
50.0% (4)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
47.7% (111)
-7.0%
On even strength, Nosek has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Barbashev is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Barbashev shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Nosek
Home
45.3% (137)
52.3% (342)
Away
36.1% (191)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Barbashev
Nosek
P1
41.8%
49.0%
P2
43.1%
53.8%
P3
31.9%
57.9%
Final 5 min
37.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%