Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Nosek 58.0% (-21.1%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 86.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 89.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 60.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Barbashev
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
59.7% (469)
-20.6%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
100.0% (4)
-63.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
56.5% (124)
-36.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Barbashev is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Barbashev shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Nosek
Home
40.0% (85)
59.0% (295)
Away
35.6% (59)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Barbashev
Nosek
P1
35.8%
56.3%
P2
29.5%
61.9%
P3
48.9%
59.2%
Final 5 min
31.3%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%