Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Nosek 51.4% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 75.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 79.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 55.0%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Barbashev
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
54.4% (215)
-14.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
0.0% (1)
+58.3%
On power play, Barbashev has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Barbashev is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Barbashev shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Nosek
Home
45.8% (48)
50.4% (127)
Away
38.5% (39)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Barbashev
Nosek
P1
43.3%
51.4%
P2
31.0%
51.3%
P3
53.6%
53.2%
Final 5 min
35.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%