Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.6% vs Nosek 51.4% (-15.4%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 63.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 75.9%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 58.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Barbashev
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
53.0% (400)
-13.7%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
33.3% (12)
-13.3%
On even strength, Nosek has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Barbashev is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Barbashev shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Nosek
Home
35.3% (17)
49.6% (244)
Away
37.5% (16)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Barbashev
Nosek
P1
14.3%
53.1%
P2
61.5%
51.4%
P3
33.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
0.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
36.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%