Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs McTavish 51.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 73.8%
Defensive zone
Compher 64.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 67.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Compher
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Compher
McTavish
Last 5: Compher 3-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Compher
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Compher
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
51.3% (725)
-5.8%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
55.8% (113)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
28.6% (7)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Compher
McTavish
Home
44.0% (484)
52.0% (454)
Away
45.4% (555)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Compher
McTavish
P1
46.2%
51.3%
P2
44.8%
50.4%
P3
44.2%
53.3%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |