Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.6%). Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs McTavish 48.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 64.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 73.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.9%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Compher
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
19
(34 meetings)
15
19
Compher
McTavish
Last 10: Compher 4-6 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Compher
McTavish
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
5
3
Compher
McTavish
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
9
Compher
McTavish
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
48.2% (2,788)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
52.6% (435)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
34.3% (35)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Compher
McTavish
Home
49.1% (3,894)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Compher
McTavish
P1
49.1%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
47.8%
P3
47.4%
48.4%
OT
40.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |