Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs McTavish 49.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 81.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 61.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 60.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Compher
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
3
Compher
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
47.6% (616)
+6.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
57.8% (102)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
33.3% (6)
+2.3%
On even strength, Compher has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Compher
McTavish
Home
52.4% (429)
52.2% (389)
Away
51.7% (449)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Compher
McTavish
P1
56.0%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
47.9%
P3
50.6%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |