Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs McTavish 50.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 55.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 72.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 60.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Compher
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Compher
McTavish
Last 9: Compher 3-6 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Compher
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Compher
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Compher
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
51.1% (769)
-5.3%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
50.6% (178)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
28.6% (14)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Compher
McTavish
Home
45.1% (519)
52.3% (461)
Away
45.1% (494)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Compher
McTavish
P1
45.8%
51.5%
P2
46.2%
54.0%
P3
43.2%
47.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |