Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Paul 53.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 82.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 84.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 81.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Compher
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Compher
Paul
Last 10: Compher 2-8 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
6
Compher
Paul
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
4
Compher
Paul
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Compher
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
53.1% (710)
-7.6%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
57.3% (199)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
58.0% (69)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Compher
Paul
Home
44.0% (484)
56.0% (466)
Away
45.4% (555)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Compher
Paul
P1
46.2%
57.2%
P2
44.8%
54.9%
P3
44.2%
51.5%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
37.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |