Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Paul 50.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 69.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 66.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 69.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Compher
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Compher
Paul
Last 7: Compher 2-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Compher
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Compher
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Compher
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
48.8% (666)
-3.0%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
53.8% (65)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
60.0% (55)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Compher
Paul
Home
45.1% (519)
49.7% (348)
Away
45.1% (494)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Compher
Paul
P1
45.8%
51.0%
P2
46.2%
47.4%
P3
43.2%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |