Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Paul 53.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 78.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 53.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Compher
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Compher
Paul
Last 6: Compher 4-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
3
2
Compher
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
53.2% (327)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
61.4% (57)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
50.0% (32)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Compher
Paul
Home
52.4% (429)
54.6% (183)
Away
51.7% (449)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Compher
Paul
P1
56.0%
56.3%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
50.6%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |