Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Paul 52.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 22-13 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 83.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 74.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 78.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Compher
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
22
(35 meetings)
13
22
Compher
Paul
Last 10: Compher 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
10
Compher
Paul
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
6
Compher
Paul
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Compher
Paul
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
52.5% (3,796)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
56.5% (480)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
46.7% (574)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Compher
Paul
Home
49.1% (3,894)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Compher
Paul
P1
49.1%
53.9%
P2
47.3%
51.0%
P3
47.4%
52.0%
OT
40.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |