Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Miller 59.6% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 74.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 57.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 60.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Larkin
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Larkin
Miller
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
4
Larkin
Miller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
2
Larkin
Miller
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
61.5% (540)
-9.8%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
65.6% (122)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
47.7% (65)
+0.5%
On even strength, Miller has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Larkin
Miller
Home
52.4% (647)
62.1% (372)
Away
52.7% (643)
59.7% (355)
By Period
Larkin
Miller
P1
52.2%
58.9%
P2
53.1%
63.9%
P3
51.7%
59.8%
OT
61.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |