Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 45.9% vs Staal 57.3% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 88.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 55.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 71.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Miller
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Miller
Staal
Last 7: Miller 1-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Miller
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Miller
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (113)
56.6% (1,075)
-13.2%
Power Play
43.2% (44)
66.7% (141)
-23.5%
On power play, Staal has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Miller is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Miller shoots left. Staal is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Miller
Staal
Home
47.5% (80)
57.7% (735)
Away
39.0% (77)
57.9% (660)
By Period
Miller
Staal
P1
50.0%
61.8%
P2
40.7%
55.7%
P3
43.6%
56.1%
OT
0.0%
56.8%
Final 5 min
35.5%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
43.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |