Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Staal 54.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 80.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Miller
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
17
(36 meetings)
19
17
Miller
Staal
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
12
6
Miller
Staal
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
8
Miller
Staal
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Miller
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
57.0% (1,017)
+1.2%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
57.7% (26)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
45.1% (286)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Miller
Staal
Home
59.1% (558)
54.3% (667)
Away
57.3% (520)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Miller
Staal
P1
60.7%
56.2%
P2
57.5%
57.0%
P3
56.1%
49.7%
OT
73.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
60.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |