Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Staal 57.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 65.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Miller
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Miller
Staal
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
5
Miller
Staal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
58.9% (1,096)
-2.6%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
68.4% (57)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
51.8% (222)
-4.4%
On power play, Staal has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Miller
Staal
Home
58.6% (734)
57.0% (646)
Away
54.1% (727)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Miller
Staal
P1
57.1%
55.9%
P2
57.0%
55.4%
P3
54.7%
62.0%
OT
62.5%
70.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |