Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Staal 54.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 62.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Miller
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Miller
Staal
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Miller
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
56.1% (955)
+5.4%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
66.9% (142)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
43.0% (242)
+4.7%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Miller
Staal
Home
62.1% (372)
55.4% (663)
Away
59.7% (355)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Miller
Staal
P1
58.9%
55.1%
P2
63.9%
54.7%
P3
59.8%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |