Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Staal 56.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 51.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Miller
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Miller
Staal
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Miller
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
3
Miller
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Miller
Staal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
58.9% (1,041)
-3.4%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
53.4% (73)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
49.1% (171)
-3.3%
On power play, Miller has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Miller
Staal
Home
53.5% (578)
59.0% (578)
Away
54.7% (655)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Miller
Staal
P1
58.3%
57.1%
P2
53.5%
60.9%
P3
50.1%
55.8%
OT
70.6%
20.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |