Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 49.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 81.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Miller
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Miller
Staal
Last 6: Miller 5-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (357)
56.7% (750)
-8.8%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
62.5% (120)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.4% (153)
-26.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Miller is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Miller shoots left. Staal is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Miller
Staal
Home
53.0% (281)
58.8% (522)
Away
45.3% (243)
52.7% (501)
By Period
Miller
Staal
P1
49.4%
60.8%
P2
53.3%
55.9%
P3
45.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
49.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |