Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.4% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 68.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 52.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 54.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Miller
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Miller
Draisaitl
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Miller
Draisaitl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Miller
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (526)
55.9% (835)
+5.5%
Power Play
65.3% (118)
61.8% (228)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (62)
50.0% (40)
-3.2%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Miller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Miller shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Miller
Draisaitl
Home
61.8% (351)
55.1% (508)
Away
59.7% (355)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Miller
Draisaitl
P1
58.5%
55.8%
P2
64.0%
55.7%
P3
59.6%
59.0%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |