Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 56.9%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 59.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 64.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 56.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Miller
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
17
(31 meetings)
14
17
Miller
Draisaitl
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
10
Miller
Draisaitl
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
8
4
Miller
Draisaitl
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
3
Miller
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
57.4% (1,010)
-1.1%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
56.2% (331)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
54.5% (110)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Miller
Draisaitl
Home
58.6% (734)
56.4% (734)
Away
54.1% (727)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Miller
Draisaitl
P1
57.1%
55.6%
P2
57.0%
62.1%
P3
54.7%
52.4%
OT
62.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |