Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.4%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 64.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 62.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 51.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Miller
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Miller
Draisaitl
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
7
Miller
Draisaitl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
2
Miller
Draisaitl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
52.6% (1,124)
+2.9%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
58.4% (344)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
49.2% (193)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Miller
Draisaitl
Home
53.5% (578)
55.5% (816)
Away
54.7% (655)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Miller
Draisaitl
P1
58.3%
51.1%
P2
53.5%
51.6%
P3
50.1%
56.9%
OT
70.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | OT | 02:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |