Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 56.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 91.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 68.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Miller
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Miller
Draisaitl
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
0
Miller
Draisaitl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
8
3
Miller
Draisaitl
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Miller
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
53.7% (923)
+4.5%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
56.1% (244)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
58.6% (29)
+0.3%
On even strength, Miller has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Miller
Draisaitl
Home
59.1% (558)
55.2% (636)
Away
57.3% (520)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Miller
Draisaitl
P1
60.7%
50.8%
P2
57.5%
56.6%
P3
56.1%
54.0%
OT
73.3%
67.9%
Final 5 min
60.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |